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20260504_143000_BTC_1_v8.6_dryrun_paperfill.jsonl

BTC 15m btc-updown-15m-1777905000
Winner: UP
Strategy
v8.6
Question
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Run Note
v86-david
Mode
paper-fill
Inferred P&L
$-117.10
Guaranteed P&L
$-117.10
Winner
UP
BTC Move
295.3
Total Cost
117.1
Fills
107
Orders
1491
Fees Paid
$0.00
0 takers

Position evolution

taker buy taker sell

PSum & Guaranteed P&L

taker buy taker sell
Trade Log (107) Fills by Price (38) Per Minute (9) Event Log (920)
t Side Outcome Price Size USDC Fee UP shares DN shares UP avg DN avg PSum Net cost
0s BUY Down $0.470 5.00 $2.35 -- 0 5 -- $0.470 -- $2.35
0s BUY Down $0.460 5.00 $2.30 -- 0 10 -- $0.465 -- $4.65
11s BUY Down $0.470 5.00 $2.35 -- 0 15 -- $0.467 -- $7.00
16s BUY Down $0.460 5.00 $2.30 -- 0 20 -- $0.465 -- $9.30
17s BUY Down $0.450 5.00 $2.25 -- 0 25 -- $0.462 -- $11.55
22s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 0 30 -- $0.453 -- $13.60
29s BUY Down $0.400 5.00 $2.00 -- 0 35 -- $0.446 -- $15.60
33s BUY Down $0.360 5.63 $2.03 -- 0 41 -- $0.434 -- $17.63
33s BUY Down $0.360 4.37 $1.57 -- 0 45 -- $0.427 -- $19.20
33s BUY Down $0.350 5.00 $1.75 -- 0 50 -- $0.419 -- $20.95
34s BUY Down $0.340 5.00 $1.70 -- 0 55 -- $0.412 -- $22.65
50s BUY Down $0.380 5.00 $1.90 -- 0 60 -- $0.409 -- $24.55
52s BUY Down $0.390 5.81 $2.27 -- 0 66 -- $0.407 -- $26.82
52s BUY Down $0.390 4.19 $1.63 -- 0 70 -- $0.406 -- $28.45
64s BUY Down $0.370 5.66 $2.09 -- 0 76 -- $0.404 -- $30.54
64s BUY Down $0.370 4.34 $1.61 -- 0 80 -- $0.402 -- $32.15
72s BUY Down $0.370 5.73 $2.12 -- 0 86 -- $0.400 -- $34.27
72s BUY Down $0.370 4.27 $1.58 -- 0 90 -- $0.398 -- $35.85
75s BUY Down $0.360 5.00 $1.80 -- 0 95 -- $0.396 -- $37.65
81s BUY Down $0.330 5.00 $1.65 -- 0 100 -- $0.393 -- $39.30
89s BUY Down $0.320 5.00 $1.60 -- 0 105 -- $0.390 -- $40.90
98s BUY Down $0.400 5.83 $2.33 -- 0 111 -- $0.390 -- $43.23
99s BUY Down $0.400 4.17 $1.67 -- 0 115 -- $0.390 -- $44.90
105s BUY Down $0.400 5.14 $2.06 -- 0 120 -- $0.391 -- $46.96
105s BUY Down $0.400 4.86 $1.94 -- 0 125 -- $0.391 -- $48.90
117s BUY Down $0.400 6.05 $2.42 -- 0 131 -- $0.392 -- $51.32
117s BUY Down $0.400 3.95 $1.58 -- 0 135 -- $0.392 -- $52.90
124s BUY Down $0.370 5.00 $1.85 -- 0 140 -- $0.391 -- $54.75
132s BUY Down $0.310 5.00 $1.55 -- 0 145 -- $0.388 -- $56.30
170s BUY Down $0.300 5.00 $1.50 -- 0 150 -- $0.385 -- $57.80
179s BUY Down $0.280 5.00 $1.40 -- 0 155 -- $0.382 -- $59.20
215s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 0 160 -- $0.383 -- $61.25
223s BUY Down $0.420 5.00 $2.10 -- 0 165 -- $0.384 -- $63.35
224s BUY Down $0.400 5.00 $2.00 -- 0 170 -- $0.384 -- $65.35
236s BUY Down $0.420 5.00 $2.10 -- 0 175 -- $0.385 -- $67.45
236s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 0 180 -- $0.386 -- $69.50
239s BUY Down $0.370 5.00 $1.85 -- 0 185 -- $0.386 -- $71.35
249s BUY Down $0.300 5.00 $1.50 -- 0 190 -- $0.383 -- $72.85
253s BUY Down $0.290 5.27 $1.53 -- 0 195 -- $0.381 -- $74.38
254s BUY Down $0.290 4.73 $1.37 -- 0 200 -- $0.379 -- $75.75
259s BUY Down $0.280 5.59 $1.56 -- 0 206 -- $0.376 -- $77.31
259s BUY Down $0.280 4.41 $1.24 -- 0 210 -- $0.374 -- $78.55
263s BUY Down $0.270 6.16 $1.66 -- 0 216 -- $0.371 -- $80.21
264s BUY Down $0.270 3.84 $1.04 -- 0 220 -- $0.369 -- $81.25
264s BUY Down $0.250 5.92 $1.48 -- 0 226 -- $0.366 -- $82.73
264s BUY Down $0.250 4.08 $1.02 -- 0 230 -- $0.364 -- $83.75
266s BUY Down $0.230 6.86 $1.58 -- 0 237 -- $0.360 -- $85.33
268s BUY Down $0.230 3.14 $0.72 -- 0 240 -- $0.358 -- $86.05
272s BUY Down $0.240 5.00 $1.20 -- 0 245 -- $0.356 -- $87.25
274s BUY Down $0.230 5.92 $1.36 -- 0 251 -- $0.353 -- $88.61
274s BUY Down $0.230 4.08 $0.94 -- 0 255 -- $0.351 -- $89.55
274s BUY Down $0.220 5.62 $1.24 -- 0 261 -- $0.348 -- $90.79
274s BUY Down $0.220 4.38 $0.96 -- 0 265 -- $0.346 -- $91.75
275s BUY Down $0.210 5.00 $1.05 -- 0 270 -- $0.344 -- $92.80
275s BUY Down $0.200 6.49 $1.30 -- 0 276 -- $0.340 -- $94.10
276s BUY Down $0.200 3.51 $0.70 -- 0 280 -- $0.339 -- $94.80
281s BUY Down $0.200 5.00 $1.00 -- 0 285 -- $0.336 -- $95.80
296s BUY Down $0.180 5.00 $0.90 -- 0 290 -- $0.333 -- $96.70
298s BUY Down $0.150 5.00 $0.75 -- 0 295 -- $0.330 -- $97.45
299s BUY Down $0.160 5.00 $0.80 -- 0 300 -- $0.328 -- $98.25
300s BUY Down $0.150 6.62 $0.99 -- 0 307 -- $0.324 -- $99.24
300s BUY Down $0.150 3.38 $0.51 -- 0 310 -- $0.322 -- $99.75
303s BUY Down $0.140 6.19 $0.87 -- 0 316 -- $0.318 -- $100.62
303s BUY Down $0.140 3.81 $0.53 -- 0 320 -- $0.316 -- $101.15
305s BUY Down $0.130 5.95 $0.77 -- 0 326 -- $0.313 -- $101.92
306s BUY Down $0.130 4.05 $0.53 -- 0 330 -- $0.310 -- $102.45
307s BUY Down $0.120 5.00 $0.60 -- 0 335 -- $0.308 -- $103.05
307s BUY Down $0.110 5.00 $0.55 -- 0 340 -- $0.305 -- $103.60
325s BUY Down $0.140 6.72 $0.94 -- 0 347 -- $0.301 -- $104.54
325s BUY Down $0.140 3.28 $0.46 -- 0 350 -- $0.300 -- $105.00
328s BUY Down $0.130 6.01 $0.78 -- 0 356 -- $0.297 -- $105.78
329s BUY Down $0.130 3.99 $0.52 -- 0 360 -- $0.295 -- $106.30
333s BUY Down $0.130 5.00 $0.65 -- 0 365 -- $0.293 -- $106.95
348s BUY Down $0.100 5.00 $0.50 -- 0 370 -- $0.290 -- $107.45
349s BUY Down $0.090 5.00 $0.45 -- 0 375 -- $0.288 -- $107.90
350s BUY Down $0.080 5.00 $0.40 -- 0 380 -- $0.285 -- $108.30
356s BUY Down $0.070 5.00 $0.35 -- 0 385 -- $0.282 -- $108.65
365s BUY Down $0.080 5.00 $0.40 -- 0 390 -- $0.280 -- $109.05
367s BUY Down $0.080 5.00 $0.40 -- 0 395 -- $0.277 -- $109.45
396s BUY Down $0.090 5.00 $0.45 -- 0 400 -- $0.275 -- $109.90
417s BUY Down $0.070 5.00 $0.35 -- 0 405 -- $0.272 -- $110.25
423s BUY Down $0.060 5.00 $0.30 -- 0 410 -- $0.270 -- $110.55
452s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 415 -- $0.267 -- $110.80
457s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 420 -- $0.264 -- $111.05
459s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 425 -- $0.262 -- $111.30
460s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 430 -- $0.259 -- $111.55
461s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 435 -- $0.257 -- $111.80
461s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 440 -- $0.255 -- $112.05
462s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 445 -- $0.252 -- $112.30
463s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 450 -- $0.250 -- $112.55
464s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 455 -- $0.248 -- $112.80
465s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 460 -- $0.246 -- $113.05
493s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 465 -- $0.244 -- $113.30
494s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 470 -- $0.242 -- $113.55
495s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 475 -- $0.240 -- $113.80
496s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 480 -- $0.238 -- $114.05
497s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 485 -- $0.236 -- $114.30
502s BUY Down $0.060 5.00 $0.30 -- 0 490 -- $0.234 -- $114.60
506s BUY Down $0.070 5.00 $0.35 -- 0 495 -- $0.232 -- $114.95
511s BUY Down $0.070 5.00 $0.35 -- 0 500 -- $0.231 -- $115.30
513s BUY Down $0.060 5.00 $0.30 -- 0 505 -- $0.229 -- $115.60
518s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 510 -- $0.227 -- $115.85
519s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 515 -- $0.225 -- $116.10
519s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 520 -- $0.224 -- $116.35
520s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 525 -- $0.222 -- $116.60
520s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 530 -- $0.221 -- $116.85
522s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 0 535 -- $0.219 -- $117.10