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20260504_133000_BTC_1_v8.1_dryrun_paperfill.jsonl

BTC 15m btc-updown-15m-1777901400
Winner: DN
Strategy
v8.1
Question
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Run Note
v81-david
Mode
paper-fill
Inferred P&L
$24.65
Guaranteed P&L
$24.65
Winner
DOWN
BTC Move
-131.26
Total Cost
44.9078
Fills
105
Orders
1487
Fees Paid
$0.00
0 takers

Position evolution

taker buy taker sell

PSum & Guaranteed P&L

taker buy taker sell
Trade Log (105) Fills by Price (58) Per Minute (13) Event Log (909)
t Side Outcome Price Size USDC Fee UP shares DN shares UP avg DN avg PSum Net cost
0s BUY Down $0.430 5.00 $2.15 -- 0 5 -- $0.430 -- $2.15
46s BUY Down $0.450 5.00 $2.25 -- 0 10 -- $0.440 -- $4.40
51s BUY Down $0.420 5.00 $2.10 -- 0 15 -- $0.433 -- $6.50
54s BUY Down $0.450 5.00 $2.25 -- 0 20 -- $0.438 -- $8.75
56s BUY Down $0.440 5.00 $2.20 -- 0 25 -- $0.438 -- $10.95
107s BUY Down $0.460 5.00 $2.30 -- 0 30 -- $0.442 -- $13.25
109s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 0 35 -- $0.437 -- $15.30
116s BUY Down $0.460 5.00 $2.30 -- 0 40 -- $0.440 -- $17.60
118s BUY Down $0.430 5.00 $2.15 -- 0 45 -- $0.439 -- $19.75
118s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 0 50 -- $0.436 -- $21.80
128s BUY Down $0.440 5.00 $2.20 -- 0 55 -- $0.436 -- $24.00
128s BUY Down $0.420 5.00 $2.10 -- 0 60 -- $0.435 -- $26.10
151s BUY Down $0.430 5.00 $2.15 -- 0 65 -- $0.435 -- $28.25
157s BUY Down $0.380 5.00 $1.90 -- 0 70 -- $0.431 -- $30.15
171s BUY Down $0.430 5.00 $2.15 -- 0 75 -- $0.431 -- $32.30
178s BUY Down $0.430 5.00 $2.15 -- 0 80 -- $0.431 -- $34.45
180s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 0 85 -- $0.429 -- $36.50
206s BUY Down $0.370 5.00 $1.85 -- 0 90 -- $0.426 -- $38.35
232s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 0 95 -- $0.425 -- $40.40
259s BUY Down $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 0 100 -- $0.423 -- $42.35
262s BUY Down $0.400 5.00 $2.00 -- 0 105 -- $0.422 -- $44.35
263s BUY Down $0.370 5.00 $1.85 -- 0 110 -- $0.420 -- $46.20
268s BUY Down $0.340 5.00 $1.70 -- 0 115 -- $0.416 -- $47.90
268s BUY Down $0.240 5.00 $1.20 -- 0 120 -- $0.409 -- $49.10
268s BUY Down $0.200 5.00 $1.00 -- 0 125 -- $0.401 -- $50.10
298s BUY Down $0.310 5.00 $1.55 -- 0 130 -- $0.397 -- $51.65
299s BUY Down $0.280 5.00 $1.40 -- 0 135 -- $0.393 -- $53.05
304s BUY Down $0.260 5.00 $1.30 -- 0 140 -- $0.388 -- $54.35
342s BUY Down $0.250 5.00 $1.25 -- 0 145 -- $0.383 -- $55.60
343s BUY Down $0.210 5.00 $1.05 -- 0 150 -- $0.378 -- $56.65
401s BUY Up $0.440 5.00 $2.20 -- 5 150 $0.440 $0.378 0.818 $58.85
401s SELL Down $0.570 5.00 $2.85 -- 5 145 $0.440 $0.371 0.811 $56.00
401s SELL Down $0.580 5.00 $2.90 -- 5 140 $0.440 $0.364 0.804 $53.10
401s BUY Up $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 10 140 $0.425 $0.364 0.789 $55.15
403s SELL Down $0.600 5.00 $3.00 -- 10 135 $0.425 $0.355 0.780 $52.15
413s SELL Down $0.620 5.00 $3.10 -- 10 130 $0.425 $0.345 0.770 $49.05
420s SELL Down $0.630 5.00 $3.15 -- 10 125 $0.425 $0.333 0.758 $45.90
434s SELL Down $0.580 5.00 $2.90 -- 10 120 $0.425 $0.323 0.748 $43.00
434s SELL Down $0.590 5.00 $2.95 -- 10 115 $0.425 $0.311 0.736 $40.05
435s BUY Up $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 15 115 $0.413 $0.311 0.725 $42.00
435s SELL Down $0.600 5.00 $3.00 -- 15 110 $0.413 $0.298 0.712 $39.00
436s SELL Down $0.630 5.00 $3.15 -- 15 105 $0.413 $0.282 0.696 $35.85
440s SELL Down $0.640 5.00 $3.20 -- 15 100 $0.413 $0.265 0.678 $32.65
441s BUY Up $0.340 5.00 $1.70 -- 20 100 $0.395 $0.265 0.659 $34.35
441s SELL Down $0.650 5.00 $3.25 -- 20 95 $0.395 $0.244 0.639 $31.10
441s SELL Down $0.700 5.00 $3.50 -- 20 90 $0.395 $0.219 0.614 $27.60
441s SELL Down $0.730 5.00 $3.65 -- 20 85 $0.395 $0.189 0.584 $23.95
442s SELL Down $0.740 5.00 $3.70 -- 20 80 $0.395 $0.154 0.549 $20.25
442s BUY Up $0.250 5.00 $1.25 -- 25 80 $0.366 $0.154 0.520 $21.50
442s SELL Down $0.750 5.00 $3.75 -- 25 75 $0.366 $0.115 0.481 $17.75
449s SELL Down $0.730 5.00 $3.65 -- 25 70 $0.366 $0.071 0.437 $14.10
451s SELL Down $0.740 5.00 $3.70 -- 25 65 $0.366 $0.019 0.385 $10.40
455s SELL Down $0.680 5.00 $3.40 -- 25 60 $0.366 $-0.036 0.330 $7.00
457s SELL Down $0.700 5.00 $3.50 -- 25 55 $0.366 $-0.103 0.263 $3.50
464s SELL Down $0.670 5.00 $3.35 -- 25 50 $0.366 $-0.180 0.186 $0.15
469s SELL Down $0.670 5.00 $3.35 -- 25 45 $0.366 $-0.274 0.092 $-3.20
470s SELL Down $0.690 5.00 $3.45 -- 25 40 $0.366 $-0.395 -0.029 $-6.65
472s SELL Down $0.700 5.00 $3.50 -- 25 35 $0.366 $-0.551 -0.185 $-10.15
479s SELL Down $0.580 5.00 $2.90 -- 25 30 $0.366 $-0.740 -0.374 $-13.05
479s BUY Up $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 30 30 $0.370 $-0.740 -0.370 $-11.10
511s BUY Down $0.450 5.00 $2.25 -- 30 35 $0.370 $-0.570 -0.200 $-8.85
512s BUY Down $0.420 5.00 $2.10 -- 30 40 $0.370 $-0.446 -0.076 $-6.75
514s BUY Down $0.370 5.00 $1.85 -- 30 45 $0.370 $-0.356 0.014 $-4.90
517s SELL Down $0.400 5.00 $2.00 -- 30 40 $0.370 $-0.450 -0.080 $-6.90
518s SELL Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 30 35 $0.370 $-0.573 -0.203 $-8.95
565s BUY Up $0.360 5.00 $1.80 -- 35 35 $0.369 $-0.573 -0.204 $-7.15
565s BUY Up $0.320 5.00 $1.60 -- 40 35 $0.362 $-0.573 -0.210 $-5.55
566s BUY Up $0.290 5.00 $1.45 -- 45 35 $0.354 $-0.573 -0.218 $-4.10
566s BUY Up $0.260 5.00 $1.30 -- 50 35 $0.345 $-0.573 -0.228 $-2.80
578s BUY Up $0.270 5.00 $1.35 -- 55 35 $0.338 $-0.573 -0.235 $-1.45
588s SELL Up $0.360 5.00 $1.80 -- 50 35 $0.336 $-0.573 -0.237 $-3.25
593s SELL Up $0.380 5.00 $1.90 -- 45 35 $0.331 $-0.573 -0.242 $-5.15
596s BUY Up $0.420 5.00 $2.10 -- 50 35 $0.340 $-0.573 -0.233 $-3.05
604s BUY Up $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 55 35 $0.344 $-0.573 -0.228 $-1.10
606s SELL Up $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 50 35 $0.340 $-0.573 -0.233 $-3.05
610s SELL Up $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 45 35 $0.334 $-0.573 -0.238 $-5.00
626s BUY Up $0.430 5.00 $2.15 -- 50 35 $0.344 $-0.573 -0.229 $-2.85
633s SELL Up $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 45 35 $0.339 $-0.573 -0.234 $-4.80
657s BUY Up $0.320 5.00 $1.60 -- 50 35 $0.337 $-0.573 -0.236 $-3.20
667s BUY Up $0.320 5.00 $1.60 -- 55 35 $0.336 $-0.573 -0.237 $-1.60
667s BUY Up $0.250 5.00 $1.25 -- 60 35 $0.328 $-0.573 -0.244 $-0.35
676s BUY Up $0.190 5.00 $0.95 -- 65 35 $0.318 $-0.573 -0.255 $0.60
698s BUY Up $0.120 5.00 $0.60 -- 70 35 $0.304 $-0.573 -0.269 $1.20
707s BUY Up $0.140 5.00 $0.70 -- 75 35 $0.293 $-0.573 -0.280 $1.90
728s BUY Up $0.270 5.00 $1.35 -- 80 35 $0.291 $-0.573 -0.282 $3.25
736s BUY Up $0.200 5.00 $1.00 -- 85 35 $0.286 $-0.573 -0.287 $4.25
741s BUY Up $0.170 5.00 $0.85 -- 90 35 $0.279 $-0.573 -0.293 $5.10
741s BUY Up $0.140 5.00 $0.70 -- 95 35 $0.272 $-0.573 -0.301 $5.80
746s BUY Up $0.090 5.00 $0.45 -- 100 35 $0.263 $-0.573 -0.310 $6.25
750s BUY Up $0.060 5.00 $0.30 -- 105 35 $0.253 $-0.573 -0.320 $6.55
751s BUY Up $0.060 5.00 $0.30 -- 110 35 $0.244 $-0.573 -0.328 $6.85
757s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 115 35 $0.236 $-0.573 -0.337 $7.10
757s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 120 35 $0.228 $-0.573 -0.344 $7.35
757s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 125 35 $0.221 $-0.573 -0.352 $7.60
758s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 130 35 $0.215 $-0.573 -0.358 $7.85
758s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 135 35 $0.208 $-0.573 -0.364 $8.10
758s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 140 35 $0.203 $-0.573 -0.370 $8.35
758s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 145 35 $0.198 $-0.573 -0.375 $8.60
760s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 150 35 $0.193 $-0.573 -0.380 $8.85
763s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 155 35 $0.188 $-0.573 -0.385 $9.10
763s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 160 35 $0.184 $-0.573 -0.389 $9.35
764s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 165 35 $0.180 $-0.573 -0.393 $9.60
764s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 170 35 $0.176 $-0.573 -0.397 $9.85
764s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 175 35 $0.172 $-0.573 -0.401 $10.10
765s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 180 35 $0.169 $-0.573 -0.404 $10.35