← All logs

20260504_123000_BTC_1_v8.1_dryrun_paperfill.jsonl

BTC 15m btc-updown-15m-1777897800
Winner: UP
Strategy
v8.1
Question
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Run Note
v81-david
Mode
paper-fill
Inferred P&L
$21.75
Guaranteed P&L
$21.75
Winner
UP
BTC Move
24.06
Total Cost
12.9886
Fills
36
Orders
582
Fees Paid
$0.00
0 takers

Position evolution

taker buy taker sell

PSum & Guaranteed P&L

taker buy taker sell
Trade Log (36) Fills by Price (29) Per Minute (7) Event Log (776)
t Side Outcome Price Size USDC Fee UP shares DN shares UP avg DN avg PSum Net cost
0s BUY Up $0.420 5.00 $2.10 -- 5 0 $0.420 -- -- $2.10
77s BUY Up $0.310 5.00 $1.55 -- 10 0 $0.365 -- -- $3.65
118s BUY Down $0.450 5.00 $2.25 -- 10 5 $0.365 $0.450 0.815 $5.90
124s SELL Up $0.600 5.00 $3.00 -- 5 5 $0.130 $0.450 0.580 $2.90
124s BUY Down $0.400 5.00 $2.00 -- 5 10 $0.130 $0.425 0.555 $4.90
137s SELL Down $0.450 5.00 $2.25 -- 5 5 $0.130 $0.400 0.530 $2.65
153s BUY Down $0.450 5.00 $2.25 -- 5 10 $0.130 $0.425 0.555 $4.90
163s SELL Down $0.470 5.00 $2.35 -- 5 5 $0.130 $0.380 0.510 $2.55
189s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 5 10 $0.130 $0.395 0.525 $4.60
201s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 5 15 $0.130 $0.400 0.530 $6.65
201s BUY Down $0.370 5.00 $1.85 -- 5 20 $0.130 $0.393 0.522 $8.50
210s BUY Down $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 5 25 $0.130 $0.392 0.522 $10.45
213s BUY Down $0.400 5.00 $2.00 -- 5 30 $0.130 $0.393 0.523 $12.45
258s BUY Up $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 10 30 $0.260 $0.393 0.653 $14.40
258s SELL Down $0.600 5.00 $3.00 -- 10 25 $0.260 $0.352 0.612 $11.40
263s SELL Down $0.620 5.00 $3.10 -- 10 20 $0.260 $0.285 0.545 $8.30
266s SELL Down $0.650 5.00 $3.25 -- 10 15 $0.260 $0.163 0.423 $5.05
270s SELL Down $0.590 5.00 $2.95 -- 10 10 $0.260 $-0.050 0.210 $2.10
272s BUY Up $0.400 5.00 $2.00 -- 15 10 $0.307 $-0.050 0.257 $4.10
283s SELL Up $0.500 5.00 $2.50 -- 10 10 $0.210 $-0.050 0.160 $1.60
285s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 10 15 $0.210 $0.103 0.313 $3.65
288s BUY Down $0.360 5.00 $1.80 -- 10 20 $0.210 $0.168 0.378 $5.45
294s BUY Down $0.380 5.00 $1.90 -- 10 25 $0.210 $0.210 0.420 $7.35
296s BUY Down $0.240 5.00 $1.20 -- 10 30 $0.210 $0.215 0.425 $8.55
298s BUY Down $0.170 5.00 $0.85 -- 10 35 $0.210 $0.209 0.419 $9.40
308s BUY Down $0.190 5.00 $0.95 -- 10 40 $0.210 $0.206 0.416 $10.35
320s BUY Down $0.190 5.00 $0.95 -- 10 45 $0.210 $0.204 0.414 $11.30
325s BUY Down $0.180 5.00 $0.90 -- 10 50 $0.210 $0.202 0.412 $12.20
326s BUY Down $0.150 5.00 $0.75 -- 10 55 $0.210 $0.197 0.407 $12.95
376s SELL Down $0.310 5.00 $1.55 -- 10 50 $0.210 $0.186 0.396 $11.40
377s SELL Down $0.310 5.00 $1.55 -- 10 45 $0.210 $0.172 0.382 $9.85
380s BUY Up $0.100 5.00 $0.50 -- 15 45 $0.173 $0.172 0.346 $10.35
380s SELL Down $0.890 5.00 $4.45 -- 15 40 $0.173 $0.083 0.256 $5.90
381s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 20 40 $0.142 $0.083 0.225 $6.15
381s SELL Down $0.980 5.00 $4.90 -- 20 35 $0.142 $-0.046 0.097 $1.25
384s SELL Down $0.600 5.00 $3.00 -- 20 30 $0.142 $-0.153 -0.011 $-1.75