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20260504_120000_BTC_1_v8.1_dryrun_paperfill.jsonl

BTC 15m btc-updown-15m-1777896000
Winner: UP
Strategy
v8.1
Question
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Run Note
v81-david
Mode
paper-fill
Inferred P&L
$64.80
Guaranteed P&L
$9.80
Winner
DOWN
BTC Move
-0.58
Total Cost
26.3785
Fills
51
Orders
252
Fees Paid
$0.00
0 takers

Position evolution

taker buy taker sell

PSum & Guaranteed P&L

taker buy taker sell
Trade Log (51) Fills by Price (44) Per Minute (10) Event Log (803)
t Side Outcome Price Size USDC Fee UP shares DN shares UP avg DN avg PSum Net cost
0s BUY Down $0.450 5.00 $2.25 -- 0 5 -- $0.450 -- $2.25
11s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 0 10 -- $0.430 -- $4.30
13s BUY Down $0.380 5.00 $1.90 -- 0 15 -- $0.413 -- $6.20
13s BUY Down $0.340 5.00 $1.70 -- 0 20 -- $0.395 -- $7.90
39s BUY Down $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 0 25 -- $0.394 -- $9.85
39s BUY Down $0.370 5.00 $1.85 -- 0 30 -- $0.390 -- $11.70
46s BUY Down $0.340 5.00 $1.70 -- 0 35 -- $0.383 -- $13.40
61s BUY Down $0.310 5.00 $1.55 -- 0 40 -- $0.374 -- $14.95
65s BUY Down $0.290 5.00 $1.45 -- 0 45 -- $0.364 -- $16.40
86s BUY Down $0.360 5.00 $1.80 -- 0 50 -- $0.364 -- $18.20
139s BUY Up $0.460 5.00 $2.30 -- 5 50 $0.460 $0.364 0.824 $20.50
139s SELL Down $0.560 5.00 $2.80 -- 5 45 $0.460 $0.342 0.802 $17.70
155s SELL Down $0.570 5.00 $2.85 -- 5 40 $0.460 $0.314 0.774 $14.85
156s BUY Up $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 10 40 $0.435 $0.314 0.749 $16.90
156s SELL Down $0.580 5.00 $2.90 -- 10 35 $0.435 $0.276 0.711 $14.00
158s SELL Down $0.600 5.00 $3.00 -- 10 30 $0.435 $0.222 0.657 $11.00
158s SELL Down $0.610 5.00 $3.05 -- 10 25 $0.435 $0.144 0.579 $7.95
163s SELL Down $0.620 5.00 $3.10 -- 10 20 $0.435 $0.025 0.460 $4.85
165s SELL Down $0.630 5.00 $3.15 -- 10 15 $0.435 $-0.177 0.258 $1.70
182s SELL Down $0.540 5.00 $2.70 -- 10 10 $0.435 $-0.535 -0.100 $-1.00
213s BUY Up $0.380 5.00 $1.90 -- 15 10 $0.417 $-0.535 -0.118 $0.90
214s BUY Up $0.310 5.00 $1.55 -- 20 10 $0.390 $-0.535 -0.145 $2.45
224s BUY Up $0.270 5.00 $1.35 -- 25 10 $0.366 $-0.535 -0.169 $3.80
265s SELL Up $0.390 5.00 $1.95 -- 20 10 $0.360 $-0.535 -0.175 $1.85
350s BUY Up $0.380 5.00 $1.90 -- 25 10 $0.364 $-0.535 -0.171 $3.75
425s BUY Up $0.280 5.00 $1.40 -- 30 10 $0.350 $-0.535 -0.185 $5.15
463s SELL Up $0.380 5.00 $1.90 -- 25 10 $0.344 $-0.535 -0.191 $3.25
463s SELL Up $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 20 10 $0.328 $-0.535 -0.207 $1.20
477s SELL Up $0.580 5.00 $2.90 -- 15 10 $0.243 $-0.535 -0.292 $-1.70
477s BUY Down $0.420 5.00 $2.10 -- 15 15 $0.243 $-0.217 0.027 $0.40
502s BUY Down $0.440 5.00 $2.20 -- 15 20 $0.243 $-0.052 0.191 $2.60
503s BUY Down $0.410 5.00 $2.05 -- 15 25 $0.243 $0.040 0.283 $4.65
503s BUY Down $0.310 5.00 $1.55 -- 15 30 $0.243 $0.085 0.328 $6.20
504s BUY Down $0.290 5.00 $1.45 -- 15 35 $0.243 $0.114 0.358 $7.65
510s BUY Down $0.260 5.00 $1.30 -- 15 40 $0.243 $0.133 0.376 $8.95
511s BUY Down $0.230 5.00 $1.15 -- 15 45 $0.243 $0.143 0.387 $10.10
526s BUY Down $0.230 5.00 $1.15 -- 15 50 $0.243 $0.152 0.395 $11.25
536s BUY Down $0.150 5.00 $0.75 -- 15 55 $0.243 $0.152 0.395 $12.00
539s BUY Down $0.140 5.00 $0.70 -- 15 60 $0.243 $0.151 0.394 $12.70
542s BUY Down $0.120 5.00 $0.60 -- 15 65 $0.243 $0.148 0.392 $13.30
544s BUY Down $0.100 5.00 $0.50 -- 15 70 $0.243 $0.145 0.388 $13.80
544s BUY Down $0.080 5.00 $0.40 -- 15 75 $0.243 $0.141 0.384 $14.20
559s BUY Down $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 15 80 $0.243 $0.135 0.378 $14.45
581s SELL Down $0.260 5.00 $1.30 -- 15 75 $0.243 $0.127 0.370 $13.15
584s SELL Down $0.280 5.00 $1.40 -- 15 70 $0.243 $0.116 0.359 $11.75
586s BUY Down $0.280 5.00 $1.40 -- 15 75 $0.243 $0.127 0.370 $13.15
590s SELL Down $0.310 5.00 $1.55 -- 15 70 $0.243 $0.114 0.357 $11.60
593s BUY Down $0.320 5.00 $1.60 -- 15 75 $0.243 $0.127 0.371 $13.20
595s BUY Down $0.300 5.00 $1.50 -- 15 80 $0.243 $0.138 0.382 $14.70
616s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 20 80 $0.195 $0.138 0.333 $14.95
616s BUY Up $0.050 5.00 $0.25 -- 25 80 $0.166 $0.138 0.304 $15.20